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December 1, 2021

ICAS Bulletin (online ISSN 2836-3418, print ISSN 2836-340X) is published every other week throughout the year at 1919 M St NW, Suite 310, Washington, DC 20036.
The online version of ICAS Bulletin can be found at chinaus-icas.org/bulletins/.

- What's Going On? -

U.S. Security Pacts Challenged in the Asia-Pacific

Australian Defence Minister Peter Dutton meets with U.S. and U.K. delegates prior to the signing of ENNPIA (Source: Australian Ministry of Defence)

– On November 30, the U.S. completed ten days of joint naval drills in the Pacific with Japan, Canada, Australia, and Germany which Vice Admiral Karl Thomas said had an intention to “deter aggression from some nations that are showing burgeoning strength.”

– On November 22, Australia signed the Exchange of Naval Nuclear Propulsion Information Agreement, or ENNPIA, a key component of the AUKUS pact which will enable the U.S. and U.K. to share nuclear propulsion information and technology with Australia. Rory Metcalf, the head of the National Security College at the Australia National University, argued that the deal signalled Canberra’s “recognition of the challenge from China.”

– On November 18, Manila condemned the actions of three Chinese coast guard ships which it says blocked and used a water cannon on several resupply boats headed to the Philippine-occupied Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea. U.S. State Department spokesperson Ned Price accused China of an “escalation” and reminded China that any “armed attack on Philippine public vessels” would invoke the 1951 U.S.-Philippines mutual defense treaty.

U.S. Trade with Asia Gains Both Bridges and Barriers

USTR Katherine Tai meets with Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno during her Asian tour (Source: Office of the USTR via Twitter)

– On November 29, a report published by the University of Technology Sydney’s Australia-China Relations Institute showed that exports from the U.S., Canada, and New Zealand to China increased in 2020 when Beijing issued tariffs on certain Australian goods.

– On November 24, the U.S. Department of Commerce added a dozen more Chinese companies to its trade blacklist, claiming that the named firms are aiding China’s military modernization.

– On November 23, it was reported that the number of Automatic Identification System (AIS) signals from ships in Chinese waters has dropped by 1,400% since November 1 when China began enforcing its new data protection law in AIS stations, citing national security concerns.

– On November 16, USTR Katherine Tai and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo began a week of meetings with their counterparts in Japan, South Korea, and India. In Tokyo, USTR Tai stated that the U.S. needs to correct the course that it has taken to trade with the Asia-Pacific since withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).

China Frustrated by U.S. Engagement with Taiwan

The skyline of Taipei at sunset (Source: Getty Images)

– On November 26, a delegation of five U.S. members of Congress met with Tsai Ing-wen to signal their support. In response, China condemned the trip and conducted naval and air drills in the Taiwan Strait the following day.

– On November 24, in the days following the second annual ‘US-Taiwan Economic Prosperity Partnership Dialogue,’ Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian urged the U.S. in a phone call to cease further official contact with Taiwanese officials.

– On November 23, the Biden administration included Taiwan in a list of governments invited to its December 9-10 ‘Summit for Democracy,’ prompting anger from Beijing.

– On November 23, Taipei’s Defense Ministry requested a budget increase of $9bn over the next five years to respond to China’s rapid military modernization.

Beijing Winter Olympics Turn Increasingly Political

A woman walks by a billboard in Beijing showing the mascots for the 2022 Winter Olympics (Source: Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)

– On November 29, the CPC-backed Global Times reported that China has no plans to invite U.S. officials to the upcoming 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, citing the U.S.’  politicization of the games with statements “link[ing] their officials’ attendance with so-called human rights issues.”

– On November 19, UN Human Rights Office official Liz Throssel urged China to provide proof of tennis star Peng Shuai’s whereabouts, who had not been seen in public since November 2 when she accused former Vice Premier Zhang Gaoli of sexual assault. The UN statement followed concern from around the world and a threat from Steve Simon, the head of the Women’s Tennis Association, to pull business from China if Peng’s location is not verified.

– On November 18, it was reported that the Marriott hotel in Prague cited “political neutrality” as its reason for declining to host the Uyghur World Congress.

– On November 18, President Biden fielded a question regarding a diplomatic boycott of the upcoming Olympic games, in response to allegations of human rights abuses in Xinjiang, by saying it’s “something we’re considering.”

U.S., China Compete over Technology

(Source: Unsplash)

– On November 24, eight Chinese technology companies were included in the Department of Commerce’s list of additions to its entity list, alleging that they were assisting in acquiring U.S. intellectual property applicable to the Chinese military’s quantum computing efforts. 

– On November 18, the U.S.-blacklisted Huawei Technologies Co. launched a new ‘availability zone’ for its cloud services in Thailand as part of a pivot to products and services less dependent on semiconductors and less susceptible to U.S. sanctions.

– On November 17, the Congressional leadership de-linked the Innovation and Competition Act, a bill sponsored by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer which would provide $250b in funding to compete with China in emerging technologies, from the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2022. The move came after some members of Congress objected to Schumer’s attempt to unilaterally link spending on technology competition to a must-pass defense budget authorization.

- What Are We Reading? -

- What's Happening Around Town? -

Past Events

November 17-18 hosted by Institute for Peace & Diplomacy

November 19-22 hosted by Center for Strategic and International Studies

November 21-23 co-hosted by Polar Cooperation Research Centre, Polar Law Institute, University of Lapland, and University of the Arctic

November 22 hosted by Center for a New American Security

November 23 hosted by Hudson Institute

Upcoming Events

December 1 hosted by Korea Economic Institute

December 6-8 hosted by Atlantic Council

December 7 hosted by American Enterprise Institute

December 7-9 hosted by South China Morning Post

December 8 hosted by Hudson Institute

December 10 hosted by American Enterprise Institute

- What ICAS Is Up To -

2021 ICAS Annual Conference

Thursday, December 9, 2021

9:00am – 1:00pm EST (GMT -5)

Come join us virtually on Thursday, December 9 for our 2021 ICAS Annual Conference when more than a dozen esteemed panelists will discuss the prospects for U.S.-China relations under the Biden administration!

The event will feature two discussion panels and a keynote dialogue between:

  • Xu Xueyuan – Deputy Chief of Mission & Minister, Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States, and 
  • Susan Thornton – Senior Fellow, Paul Tsai China Center, Yale Law School
 
Learn more about the exact starting times of panels and information about our expert speakers on the event page:

ICAS Event Summary

Symposium on Global Maritime Cooperation and Ocean Governance 2021

Monday-Tuesday, November 8-9, 2021

On November 8-9 [EDT], the hybrid-style 2021 Symposium on Global Maritime Cooperation and Ocean Governance (GMCOG) was held both in Hainan and online. The event included seven sessions and a series of keynote addresses from regional leaders and experts in their field. 

Session 5: Ocean Governance Practices in the Arctic discussed the various ocean governance practices in the Arctic. The session was moderated by Professor Gordon Houlden, Director Emeritus of the China Institute at the University of Alberta Canada, and involved the following speakers: Dr. Aldo Chircop, Professor of Law at the Schulich School of Law, Dalhousie University; Dr. Nong Hong, Executive Director and Senior Research Fellow, Institute for China-America Studies; Dr. Suzanne Lalonde, Professor of Public International Law and International Law of the Sea, University of Montreal; Dr. Bai Jiayu, Professor at the School of Law, Nankai University; and Ms. Sakiko Hataya, Research Fellow at the Ocean Policy Research Institute, Sasakawa Peace Foundation.

ICAS Commentary

U.S.-China Trade War: Still Going Nowhere

by Sarah Hsu

November 22, 2021

Although we don’t hear about it every day, the U.S. and China remain locked in a trade war. U.S. tariffs on $350 billion in Chinese products continue to impose additional costs on U.S. firms using Chinese-produced inputs and finished products as well as on consumers. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, China has been unable to live up to its promises in the Phase One trade deal to purchase $200 billion in U.S. agricultural and other products. Meetings between the Biden and Xi administrations have not resulted in any firm resolution to the trade war, so what can be said about the trajectory of the U.S.-China trade relationship?… 

External Commentary

A Vision of Action on Marine Plastic Debris in the Asia-Pacific

by Song Runxi and Wu Lei

November 19, 2021

On November 10, 2021, the U.S.-China unveiled a deal to strengthen cooperation on climate change, titled “U.S.-China Joint Glasgow Declaration on Enhancing Climate Action in the 2020s”. The two sides, intending to cooperate on “key areas related to the circular economy, such as green design and renewable resource utilization,” has the potential to bridge a new path for the two powers to reshape the future of plastic. Coincidentally, on November 9-10, 2021, at the Symposium on Global Maritime Cooperation and Ocean Governance 2021, scholars from the Asia-Pacific also highlighted the impacts and potential solutions to the marine plastic issue.

The Asia-Pacific region has trouble managing plastic pollution. Many countries in the region are both enormous producers and consumers of plastics, particularly China and the ASEAN member states. Plastic waste has accumulated in landfills, dumps, and the natural environment, which eventually finds its way to the sea, making it a major contributor to ocean pollution, the harming of marine life and fisheries, and a threat to human health.  Professor Zou Xinqing from Nanjing University makes it clear that the risks to humans and ecosystems from microplastics are only just beginning to be understood, which means that current impact assessments are likely incomplete, leading to potentially irreversible consequences. Asian countries thus share a common need to combat marine plastic pollution while managing the same maritime zone…

ICAS In the News

On Tuesday, November 16, 2021, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta discussed the expectations from the Biden-Xi meeting on CGTN America’s China 24

 

On Saturday, November 20, 2021, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was quoted by the South China Morning Post on the Biden-Xi summit and the Chinese ambassador’s response to America’s rules-based demands.

On Sunday, November 21, 2021, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was quoted by the South China Morning Post on China’s foreseeable response to the AUKUS alliance.

On Monday, November 22, 2021, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was quoted by Xinhua on China-Russia relations in the context of the complexities of Russia’s relationship with the U.S. and other Western nations.

Sourabh Gupta on CGTN America's China 24, November 16, 2021