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January 31, 2023

Volume 2

Issue 1

Table of Contents

Recent News in Global Maritime Affairs

-1-

Climate Change and Blue Carbon Economy

-1-

Blue carbon studies can support climate change mitigation: ministry
January 30 – Antara News
[Southeast Asia]

While giving a seminar on blue carbon in Jakarta, Indonesia’s Minister of Environment and Forestry announced that a study on preparing blue carbon ecosystems is very important in climate change mitigation. “We are very focused on ecology because if the sea is damaged, then the blue economy or the ecology will also be damaged and blue carbon will not be obtained,” Minister Siti Nurbaya Bakar explained.

Despite killer floods, Nigerian presidential frontrunners dismiss climate change
January 25 – Climate Home News
[Africa]

With less than one month until general elections are held, Nigeria’s leading presidential candidates reportedly have yet to take the issue of climate change, which has been bringing massive inland flooding, seriously amidst the backdrop of bombing campaigns by Islamist group Boko Haram.

Indonesia, WEF join hands to unlock blue carbon potential
January 23 – The Jakarta Post
[South Pacific, Global]

The government of Indonesia and the World Economic Forum announced a new partnership to support blue carbon restoration and relevant ocean conservation efforts in Indonesia, including by creating a roadmap for Indonesia’s blue carbon priorities and bringing in stakeholders across various sectors.

Graves sink, fisheries shrink as climate change hits Fiji
January 20 – The Japan Times
[South Pacific]

As a result of climate change, an increasing number of coastal villages in Fiji are being submerged, leading to significant relocation needs and consequent economic, social and cultural problems. Fiji’s fishery system is also under challenge due to climate-related risks, affecting the livelihoods of around half of the country’s rural population.

Pacific islands urge Japan to delay release of Fukushima waste over contamination fears
January 18 – Reuters [Paywall]
[Japan, Pacific Ocean]

Pacific Island states are urging Japan to delay releasing the nuclear waste water from the Fukushima nuclear power plant, expressing concerns about potential nuclear contamination and the consequent impacts on their local ecosystem and fisheries.

Newfoundlanders identify with the ocean. Now some are moving inland.
January 16 – The Washington Post [Paywall]
[Canada]

In Newfoundland, Canada, former members of the fishery communities are planning for relocation away from the coasts in light of climate change and consequent extreme weather events and disasters.

Oceans surged to another record-high temperature in 2022
January 11 – The Washington Post [Paywall]
[Global]

The ocean heat content, considered a “strong marker of climate change,” reached a record high in 2022; the highest it has been since reliable measurements began being taken in the late 1950s. The level of ocean heat broke records for three consecutive years in 2020, 2021 and 2022, leading to concerns by researchers and experts.

China brushes off environment fears over East Africa pipeline
January 10 – Nikkei Asia
[China, Africa]

Two Chinese Engineering and Construction companies are responsible for building part of the East African Crude Oil Pipeline Project that will transport oil pumped in Uganda to Tanzania for transport. Local residents and environmental advocacy groups are opposing the project because it will displace people and pollute the environment which millions rely upon.

Workshop discusses marine spatial planning for sustainable oceans in Việt Nam
January 7 – Viet Nam News
[South Asia]

Vietnamese government representatives and experts from the United Nations and Norway held a workshop to discuss the master plan on “sustainable exploitation and use of coastal resources for 2021-30, with a vision to 2045.” The plan seeks to sustainably develop the coastal zone while proactively adapting climate changes.

New study: Methane emissions offset carbon uptake in Baltic macroalgae habitats
January 4 – Newswise
[Baltic Sea]

A new study conducted and published by Askö Laboratory shows that, to some extent, the bladderwrack macroalgae native to the Baltic Sea’s seafloor “emits significant amounts of methane” that can “offset the uptake of atmospheric carbon dioxide by these algae.”

-2-

Maritime Economy and Shipping

-2-

Qatar to explore Lebanese offshore gas after maritime deal with Israel
January 29 – i24 News
[Middle East]

Following a historic Israeli-Lebanese maritime border deal, Qatar just announced its state-run QatarEnergy will receive a 30% stake in two blocks of Lebanon’s exclusive economic zone to explore Lebanon’s Qana-Sidon gas field.

Maritime shipping bunkers more fuel in Rotterdam in 2022
January 27 – Hellenic Shipping News
[Global, Europe]

In 2022, maritime shipping bunkered significantly more fuel in Rotterdam than the year before, 10.8 million compared to the previous 10.2 million. Subsequently, demand for “fuel oil, gas oil, methanol and LNG” was 6.3% higher in 2022. Rotterdam remains Europe’s leading bunker port.

Centre for Maritime Economy and Connectivity to be set up in India
January 23 – Fibre2Fashion
[South Asia]

India has planned to establish a Centre for Maritime Economy and Connectivity, which proposed to build a transshipment port at Galathea Bay. Indian officials believe it will lay a foundation for the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) member nations and even beyond the shore.

US importers shipping more to America’s east coast ports than west coast amid global supply chain shifts
January 18 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[United States, Global]

Unlike a few years ago, America’s east coast ports now swallow more imports than those on the west coast, marking a notable shift in shipping origin diversification and further U.S.-China decoupling. The supply chain bottlenecks during the pandemic are believed to have fostered this shift and infrastructure revamp.

Huawei’s automated smart terminal at Tianjin Port offers glimpse of company’s future under US sanctions
January 17 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[China, United States, Global]

Huawei Technologies Co. built an automated ‘smart terminal’ at the Port of Tianjin in an effort to innovate revenue to recover from smartphone business loss under U.S. sanctions. The terminal operates using technologies like self-driving vehicles, 5G, Internet of Things, and cloud computing.

China’s trade surplus swells to $877.6B as exports grow
January 13 – AP News
[China, Global]

China’s global trade surplus expanded by 29.7% in 2022 despite weakening Western demand and domestic pandemic control measures, setting the highest record for any economy. Its bilateral annual trade surplus with the United States widened by 1.8%. However, forecasters expect Chinese export growth to shrink further in the face of a potential recession in the West.

World’s Biggest Ship Skips India in Blow to Its Trade Goals
January 10 – Bloomberg [Paywall]
[India, South Asia, Global]

After the Ever Alot, the world’s largest boxship at 400 meters long, was able to dock in Sri Lanka and Malaysia but not India due to poor infrastructure, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s goal of making India the “world’s factory” is now being considerably questioned.

Saudi Ports record 13% annual rise in 2022 freight tons
January 9 – India Shipping News
[Middle East, Global]

With the progression of the Saudi Ports Authority’s mission to upgrade the nation’s ports, Saudi Arabia hit a 13% annual rise in 2022 cargo throughput in a positive progression towards the logistic hub ambitions set by the National Transport and Logistics Strategy (NTLS).

China expands Shenhai-1 gas field in South China Sea with eye on Greater Bay Area energy transition
January 4 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[South China Sea, China]

Amidst a backdrop of several technical difficulties, China has begun construction on the second phase of Shenhai-1, its first independently run ultra-deep sea gas field. This field is an important source of natural gas and contributes to the “dual carbon” transformation in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area.

New joint venture shipping deal signed by Bahri
January 2 – The Maritime Standard
[Middle East, Global]

Two leading shipping groups, Bahri and Ajlan & Bros Holding Group (ABHG), have agreed to form a new joint venture company in vessel ownership, operation, and management to better achieve Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 objectives for the maritime sector.

-3-

Ocean Governance and Maritime Cooperation

-3-

Gulf of Guinea records significant decline in maritime incidents
January 26 – Ghana Business News
[Africa]

As explained in a Regional Maritime University report, the number of incidents occurring in the Gulf of Guinea has significantly declined over the last two years, from 132 in 2020 to 41 in 2022. The decline is credited to “a strong commitment and collaborative efforts by countries in the Region,” support from international partners, and “training programmes.”

Australia wants smart sea mines to put China in check
January 25 – Asia Times
[Australia, South Pacific, China]

After AUKUS left Australia unsure about the procurement of nuclear submarines, Australia has renewed its interest in indigenous sea mining capabilities. A local newspaper reported that Australia is prepared to spend up to US$698 million to acquire “smart sea mines” from an unspecified European supplier “which will help to secure sea lines of communication.”

Tip-top shape. To encourage more Indian flag tonnage ships, govt to ban vessels over 25 years
January 21 – The Hindu Business Line [Paywall]
[South Asia]

On January 13, in an effort to encourage domestic shipbuilding, India’s Directorate General of Shipping drafted an order banning tankers, bulk carriers and general cargo ships that are 25 years or older from calling on Indian ports.

Mauritius: Workshop focuses on Marine Spatial Planning Zoning framework
January 19 – News Invasion 24
[Africa]

In Port-Louis, capital city of Mauritius, an official two-day workshop on “Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) Zoning” was held with expert participants from Mauritius and Seychelles. The workshop was organized with the assistance of the United Nations Development Programme.

DOI Transfers Offshore Wind Regulation Governance from BOEM to BSEE
January 17 – North American WindPower
[United States]

The U.S. Department of the Interior is transferring the responsibility for regulations governing offshore renewable energy activities from the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. The move was made to ensure that “future clean energy development and operations continue to occur in a safe and environmentally responsible manner.”

Regional Ocean Partnerships receive federal authorization
January 12 – Newswires
[The Americas]

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) was recently given federal jurisdiction over the four existing Regional Ocean Partnerships (ROPs), one of which is the Gulf of Mexico Alliance. In addition to encouraging coordination and collaboration between ROP partners, this change also establishes “governance structures and procedures” for existing and future ROPs.

Philippines top court voids old South China Sea energy deal
January 10 – Reuters [Paywall]
[South China Sea]

On January 10, the Philippines’ Supreme Court voided the 2005 South China Sea energy exploration deal made with Chinese and Vietnamese firms, declaring them illegal on the grounds that the constitution “does not allow foreign entities to exploit natural resources.”

Dhaka, Washington discuss cooperation on defence, IPS, maritime security
January 9 – Dhaka Tribune
[South Asia, United States]

During an official diplomatic visit to Bangladesh, Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, Senior Director for South Asia on the National Security Council, discussed defense and development cooperation, the Indo-Pacific Strategy, and “maritime safety and security,” among other bilateral issues of interest.

US to keep working with Bangladesh in different areas: Biden
January 8 – New Age
[South Asia]

At a celebration of the 50th anniversary of U.S.-Bangladesh relations in Washington, U.S. President Joe Biden celebrated the two’s “enduring partnership” and expressed hope that the two nations will “continue to work on democratic governance, climate change, refugees, and maritime security.”

China, Philippines Vow ‘Friendly’ Handling Of Maritime Spats
January 4 – Barron’s
[South China Sea, China, Southeast Asia]

During a New Year’s meeting in Beijing, Chinese and Philippine presidents Xi Jinping and Ferdinand Marcos called for “friendly consultation to appropriately resolve maritime issues.” There is also discussion on a communication agreement to “avoid miscalculation and miscommunication” though both sides still defended their own maritime rights.

-4-

Maritime Security and Defense

-4-

US Marines officially opens first new base in 70 years on island of Guam
January 27 – CNN
[United States, Pacific Ocean, China]

The US Marine Corps has officially opened their newest military base—their first since 1952—on Guam, the United States’ westernmost Pacific Island. “We want to already be inside so if there’s a conflict, the stand-in forces are already forward,” explained Gen. David Berger, USMC commandant.

Russia, China to hold naval drills off South Africa
January 19 – AP
[Russia, China, Africa]

In mid-February, South Africa will hold a 10-day naval drill with their Russian and Chinese counterparts as part of the BRICS alliance with the backdrop of the ongoing Ukraine War. The drill will be held in the Indian Ocean off of South Africa’s east coast near Durban and Richards Bay.

China Undergoing ‘Build-Up in Every Warfare Area,’ Says ONI Commander
January 16 – USNI News
[United States, China]

In an online interview with the Intelligence and National Security Alliance, commander of the Office of Naval Intelligence Rear Adm. Michael Studeman explained that “China is the number one challenge to America” and currently focused on “build-up in every warfare area.”

Iran will send ships to Panama Canal in military mission
January 12 – The Washington Times [Paywall]
[Middle East, South America]

In a public speech, Iran’s Commander of the Navy Shahram Irani announced that Iran’s “navy units [that] are getting closer to the coasts of the Americas” and Iran would dispatch warships to the Panama Canal in 2023. The explicit notices are a rare sign of Iranian military expansion beyond the Middle East.

China looks set to build naval base in Argentina, a ‘gateway’ to Antarctica: Reports
January 11 – WIO News
[Antarctic, China, South America]

According to French intelligence reports, China is currently searching to build a port and/or naval base in the Ushuaia, Tierra del Fuego province of Argentina as a likely “gateway” to Antarctica.

U.S. Marines to set up unit in Okinawa for defense of remote Japanese islands
January 10 – The Japan Times
[United States, Japan]

The US Marine Corp has decided to set up a “Marine Littoral Regiment” (MLR) rapid reaction unit in the Japanese island of Okinawa, ready for operations by 2026, though there are concerns of backlash from locals over land usage. MLRs reportedly include about 1,800 to 2,000 personnel.

Chinese navy warship spotted in South Pacific may have been on high seas resupply trial run: analysts
January 9 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[China, France, South Pacific]

After a PLA Navy guided-missile destroyer (052D) Yinchuan was seen operating in the South Pacific near New Caledonia, observers wonder if it was “testing the waters” for high seas resupply capacity. The French navy tracked the Yinchuan’s movements, which had also been seen earlier in December sailing near French Polynesia.

U.S. Sails Warship Through Taiwan Strait as China Watches Sternly
January 6 – The Wall Street Journal [Paywall]
[China, United States, East Asia]

The U.S. 7th Fleet conducted the first sail-through of the Taiwan Strait in 2023 in a “routine transit” following about nine publicly announced sailings in 2022 and a high of 15 such sailings in 2020. The Chinese Eastern Theater Command said it followed and monitored the ship during its trip with one colonel dismissing the trip as “big hype.”

China’s advanced Fujian aircraft carrier ready to start sea trials this year, a boost for military capacity
January 3 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[China, Global]

China’s third and most complex aircraft carrier, the Fujian, is expected to begin sea trials in 2023 as part of Xi Jinping’s Two Centenaries goals to “return the nation to the forefront of global powers by 2049,” the People’s Republic of China’s 100th anniversary.

Southeast Asia nations boosting submarine orders amid US-China rivalry
December 28 – South China Morning Post [Paywall]
[Southeast Asia, Global]

Many navies in Southeast Asian nations have been acquiring or enhancing their submarine fleets in recent years as U.S.-China relations continually harden and the security of sea lines of communications in the region appear to fluctuate.

Peer-Reviewed Research on Maritime Issues

Events on the Maritime Domain

Handbill Spotlight

The Black Sea

Issue Background

The Black Sea, referred to by some in Greece as the “Euxine Sea” (Greek for “hospitable”), is a nearly enclosed sea uniquely situated between the continents of Europe and Asia. Lying along the margins of the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea with a surface area of about 436,400 km², a volume of about 547,000 km³ and a maximum depth of about 2,212 meters, the Black Sea borders six nations—Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, Russia, Turkey and Ukraine—with a varied coastline of approximately 5,800 km, including the Sea of Azov in the North. 

Source: Image Source: Topographic Map of the Black Sea and surrounding area, Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc., 2014

Historically, the Black Sea has also been called by other names, simply being referred to as “the sea,” but also the “Inhospitable Sea” and “Hospitable Sea” before and after times of colonization and as it built up in infamy for being difficult to traverse. Eventually, it was named “the Black Sea” though no one has been able to determine the true origin of the name. One such reason may be that the color ‘black’ represents the Northern cardinal direction, meaning the “Black Sea” was also referred to as the “Northern Sea.” Alternatively, the name may simply be a reference to the unique color of the water during winter storms.

Given its location and breadth, the Black Sea experiences an array of climates throughout the year. It is also home to a sparse number of islands and territories administered by various bordering countries, with Ukraine controlling the Sea’s largest island, Dzharylhach, at 56 km². Many of these islands are at the core of an active regional marine ecosystem known for its nutrient-rich, brackish waters and variety of animal and plant species at varying locations and depths. Furthermore, the Black Sea is naturally anoxic and is the largest water body with a meromictic basin; that is, it is virtually absent of dissolved oxygen and the water rarely cycles between the upper and lower layers, so the lower layers not subject to fresh rainfalls and rivers are completely free of oxygen—and any marine life that relies on oxygen. The Black Sea’s anoxic nature is what particularly makes the Black Sea attractive for specialized ecological studies and deep sea explorations of natural gas and oil.

While its jurisdiction does fall under the umbrella of international law of the sea, the Black Sea is also subject to local legislation and regulations. Most notable of these is the Montreux Convention of 1936, which gives all six countries that sit on the Black Sea unlimited access to the Bosphorus and Dardanelles Straits but severely limits any other parties’ access and permissions, making external participation heavily regulated and, as some may describe, restricted. In 1992, the six border countries of the Black Sea ratified the Bucharest Convention on the Protection of the Black Sea against Pollution and founded the intergovernmental Black Sea Commission, which holds annual meetings and carries out other tasks to monitor and address pollution and conservation of this unique sea. Since 1992, the Commission has adopted two Strategic Action Plans (1996 & 2009), both of which specifically discuss the rehabilitation and protection of the Black Sea, and four declarations (1993, 2002, 2007, & 2009) that are also directly related to environmental protection. The World Wildlife Fund and similar international groups are also very active in the Black Sea region given its unique environment.

Apart from its environmental uniqueness, the Black Sea has also been a vital region for economic growth and international trade for centuries. At least one-fifth of the 180 species of fish that live in the Black Sea are considered commercially important. Also born by the 1992 Convention, the Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation entered into force in 1999 and works to “ensure peace, stability and prosperity, encouraging friendly and good-neighborly relations in the Black Sea region.” The Bosphorus Strait, a natural strait located in Istanbul, Turkey, is the sole linking maritime route between the Black Sea with the rest of the world, with about 48,000 ships passing through it annually; a rate three and four times denser than the Suez and Panama Canal traffic, respectively. About 32 km in length, the width of the Bosphorus varies between 730-3,300 meters while the depth varies between 30-120 meters. 

Recent Events

Since the 2014 Russian annexation of Crimea—the peninsula that separates the Sea of Azov from the rest of the Black Sea—the Black Sea has understandably received increased levels of attention; and that attention only multiplied with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Three-quarters of Ukraine’s naval fleet was based at the Sevastopol Naval Base in Crimea, which was raided and taken over by Russia in the 2014 annexation, and Kyiv has been working to rebuild its fleet ever since. 

The Black Sea cannot be separated from the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war, and not just because two of the six coastal countries are at the heart of it. One of the first stories to go viral in the wake of the invasion, which promptly became a symbol of resistance, was the verbal and physical defense of Snake Island against a Russian warship. Ukrainian ports and their shipyards quickly became the focus of Russian bombing attacks to enact the heaviest damage, which Ukraine returned with a drone attack on the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol in October. It cannot be denied; Ukraine and Russia are currently fighting a naval war in the Black Sea. For months in mid-late 2022, the international community worked on a deal with Russia to specifically allow Ukraine to safely export grain from its Black Sea ports through a humanitarian corridor in Istanbul; a deal that was halted and restarted multiple times and the focus of many Western eyes for months. And as it presently stands, the Black Sea continues to be at the center of the conflict. In January 2023, as new reports told of a sudden surge of Russian Navy ships and submarines moving out of their base “en masse,” Ukraine’s historic coastal city of Odessa, which is often described as the “pearl of the Black Sea,” was added to the UNESCO World Heritage list in an effort to preserve its historic center. 

Setting the Ukraine-Russia conflict aside, given its depth and anoxic nature, the Black Sea continues to be seen as an attractive source for environmental exploration as well as oil and natural gas opportunities with rough estimates in various unexplored fields reaching the hundreds of billion cubic meters marks. In December 2022, Turkey announced that its natural gas findings in the Black Sea now amount to 710 billion cubic meters. Offshore wind potential and other renewables are also now regularly on the discussion table. In addition to its geostrategic location, the Black Sea will continue to be prized and explored for its energy source potentials in the coming decades, as regional states have already come to accept and fight on behalf of.

Keep In Mind

The Black Sea is an exceedingly unique region; in its content, in its location, in its natural characteristics, and its human history, both recent and ancient. The Black Sea itself is understood to be of very high geostrategic importance to control, especially during any time of regional conflict, such as the current Ukraine-Russia conflict. As summarized in 2018, “[m]any experts believe that whoever controls or dominates the Black Sea can easily project power to the European continent, mainly in the Balkans and Central Europe, but also in the Eastern Mediterranean as well as the South Caucasus and the northern Middle East.” More specifically, observers believe the Black Sea to be “a critical intersection” for NATO nations to maintain control over as a defensive barrier. Coupled with the emerging energy discoveries in the region and the drive for green energy over the last few years, participants and observers alike will not be soon forgetting the importance of the Black Sea. For instance, in July 2022, the U.S. 117th Congress introduced the Black Sea Security Act of 2022 that would further tighten diplomatic, democratic and economic relations with Black Sea countries apart from Russia. And others have wondered whether the naval war in the Black Sea can be used to prepare for a potential war with China over Taiwan; an interesting consideration despite how the list of differences in the two situations and regions is longer than the list of similarities.

In terms of achieving stability in the Black Sea region, there is no simple answer. Some analysts are suggesting to “kick Russia’s Navy out of the Black Sea”; an idea that may have some merit if Russia was not a coastal state to the Black Sea and, also, a significant global power aside from that. While it undeniably brings its own frustrations and complications, it is more productive to actively involve all who are involved, or else all the hard work and time spent in building a solution can come to naught. Parties can successfully work alongside those they disagree with if a goal of progress and stability is agreed upon. The Black Sea Grain Initiative is an excellent recent case study—with all of its imperfections and ultimate successes—for compromise in the Black Sea. Maybe global powers ought to recognize and accept the futility of winning wholesale via ‘knock-outs’ and fall back more on the realistic idea that ‘a really good compromise is the one that leaves both sides equally dissatisfied.’


This issue’s Spotlight was written by Jessica Martin, ICAS Research Associate & Chief Editor, ICAS Newsletters

ICAS Maritime Affairs Program: New and Upcoming

BCCC Commentary

Challenges and Expectations for the Conservation and Restoration of Seagrass beds as Blue Carbon Ecosystems

By Keita Furukawa
December 31, 2022

“…On December 27, 2022, the Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism (MLIT) issued a press release on the promotion of “Blue Infrastructure Expansion Project for Life-Nurturing Ports”. Focusing on the effects of marine and coastal ecosystems in terms of carbon dioxide absorption and water purification, the project aims to contribute to the realization of carbon neutrality through the expansion of carbon dioxide sinks and to enrich marine biodiversity. Through this project, the MLIT aims to expand seagrass beds, seaweed habitats, tidal flats, and other bio-symbiotic port structures by promoting public-private partnerships to take the lead in this effort. We are hoping that this policy decision will encourage more stakeholders to participate in the conservation, restoration, and creation of blue carbon ecosystems…”

ICAS Program Announcement

The Chinese-language version of the ICAS Blue Carbon & Climate Change Quarterly 2022 Q4 is out! 

“蓝碳与气候变化”主题研究第四季度季刊中文精选版现已发布!