July 30, 2025

ICAS Bulletin (online ISSN 2836-3418, print ISSN 2836-340X) is published every other week throughout the year at 1919 M St NW, Suite 310, Washington, DC 20036.
The online version of ICAS Bulletin can be found at chinaus-icas.org/bulletins/.

- What's Going On? -

U.S. and China Seek to Extend Tariff Pause as Talks Conclude in Stockholm

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (L) and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer address a press conference in Rosenbad after the trade talks between the US and China concluded, in Stockholm, Sweden on July 29, 2025. (Photo by MAGNUS LEJHALL/TT News Agency/AFP via Getty Images)

– On July 28, the third round of U.S.-China trade talks led by the U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng took place in Stockholm ahead of the August 12 tariff deadline. 

– Prior to the talks, China has reiterated its call to stabilize bilateral trade ties. He Lifeng said the consultations will all be guided by principles of “mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation” on July 23.

– Also on July 23, U.S. trade officials signaled they will push for an extension of the current tariff truce. Bessent said discussions will focus on rebalancing trade ties, reducing China’s over-reliance on exports, and pressing for a consumer economy.

– After two days of talks in Stockholm, officials from both countries agreed to seek an extension of their 90-day tariff truce. Trade advisers from both sides sounded a hopeful note about avoiding renewed tariff escalation. The talks could help pave the way for a potential visit by Trump to China.

– Nevertheless, post-talk statements showed lingering divergences. Chinese officials said a consensus had been reached to extend the tariff pause for another 90 days. He Lifeng also emphasized mutual benefit and called for deeper dialogue and cooperation to achieve more “win-win” outcomes in U.S.-China trade relations. However, Bessent insisted no agreement would be final without Trump’s approval, and suggested Beijing had “jumped the gun.”

– Bessent said talks covered U.S. concerns over China’s Iranian oil purchases, tech sales to Russia, fentanyl issue, and industrial overproduction. He stressed the need for Washington to de-risk key sectors such as rare earths, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals, and secure Chinese deals for U.S. farm and energy exports.

– Additionally, unlike the previous London talk, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who oversees Washington’s export control policies, was not included in the Stockholm talk.

U.S.-China-EU Relations Sailing through Uncertainties

U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen on July 27, 2025 in Turnberry, Scotland. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

– On July 28, the U.S. and EU struck a framework trade agreement and averted the August 1 tariff deadline which may lead to a wider trade war between the two large economies. 

– The deal will see the U.S. impose a 15% tariffs on most EU goods while the EU will invest $600 billion in the U.S. and increase its purchases of U.S. energy and military equipment.

– On July 28, however,  just a few hours after the U.S. and EU reached their framework trade agreement, the EU admitted it does not have the power to deliver on its promise to invest $600 billion in the U.S. economy.

– Just days before the transatlantic trade deal was reached, on July 24, EU leaders met with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the EU-China summit in Beijing.

– The EU-China summit, however, produced limited outcomes as the two sides agreed to enhance cooperation on climate change while trade issues remain unresolved.

– While trade concerns remain, Beijing and Brussels agreed to expand cooperation on cross-border flow of automobile data during the second meeting of the China-EU Exchange Mechanism on Cross-Border Data Flows on July 17.

– Although the U.S. and EU avoided an escalated trade war, the trade deal has received sharp criticism from France as President Emmanuel Macron said the bloc was not “feared” by President Trump on July 30.

– As China and the U.S. continue their trade impasse, the European Central Bank suggested on July 30 that the tension could lead to a 10% rise in Chinese imports to Europe that would bring down inflation.

Cambodia and Thailand Reached Ceasefire as China, U.S. and ASEAN mediates

Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim (C), Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Manet (L) and Thailand's acting Prime Minister Phumtham Wechayachai (R) pose for photos as they shake hands following a press conference after talks on a possible ceasefire between Thailand and Cambodia in Putrajaya on July 28, 2025. (Photo by MOHD RASFAN/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)

– Thailand and Cambodia agreed to an immediate and unconditional ceasefire at a meeting in Malaysia on July 28 after five days of deadly border conflict.

– The conflict, developed from a border incident in May, resulted in at least 43 dead and nearly 300,000 people displaced.

– Since May, China, the U.S., and Malaysia have all offered to facilitate dialogue between the two countries.

– China had offered help to resolve the Thailand-Cambodia border dispute prior to the July 25 armed conflict and urged peace on the matter during an ASEAN summit in Malaysia.

– On July 25, China said it will support ASEAN efforts to mediate and blames Western colonial legacy for causing the conflict.

– U.S. President Donald Trump managed to communicate with both Thailand, a U.S. ally, and Cambodia, which has close ties with China, to work out a quick ceasefire three days after the armed conflict took place. 

– Malaysia, which chairs the ASEAN forum this year, has played a role in communicating between Thailand and Cambodia to eventually reach a ceasefire.

Both U.S. and China Accelerate AI Push

People visit Shanghai World Expo Exhibition and Convention Center during the World Artificial Intelligence Conference on July 6, 2023 in Shanghai, China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)

– On July 23, the White House released “Winning the AI Race: America’s AI Action Plan,” outlining over 90 federal policy actions aimed at accelerating innovation, building AI infrastructure, and strengthening international leadership. 

– The White House’s Plan also introduces new export controls on semiconductor tech, faster permitting for data centers and chip fabs, and rules to keep AI systems free from bias, while calling for closer coordination with allies and stricter enforcement against adversaries.

– As the United States pushes its AI development alone, China hosts the 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC2025) on July 26 to unveil a global vision for AI development and oversight. 

– In his speech during the WAIC2025, Premier Li Qiang called for urgent international coordination to build a widely accepted governance framework, especially with the Global South, and he warned that technological monopolies and export restrictions risk turning AI into “an exclusive game for a few countries.” Li Qiang called for stronger international coordination to address regulatory fragmentation, chip shortages, and talent barriers. 

– WAIC2025 serves as both a technology expo and a platform for international AI collaboration, amid geopolitical tensions and the competition over AI influence worldwide.

– Nvidia was notably absent from WAIC2025 even as it seeks to resume H20 chip sales to China. Huawei headlined the event with its Atlas 900 A3 SuperPoD. Despite being individually less powerful than Nvidia’s flagship Blackwell GPUs, Huawei’s new product can collectively match performance levels. Other U.S. tech firms, including Tesla, Google, and Amazon, maintained a presence at the conference.

Trump Administration Further Renounces Global Influence

A picture taken on October 12, 2017 shows the logo of the UNESCO headquarters in Paris. (Photo by JACQUES DEMARTHON / AFP)

– On July 22, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will quit the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), just two years after rejoining the UN agency, citing anti-Israel bias and “woke” causes. 

– UNESCO’s Director-General Audrey Azoulay expressed deep regret to President Trump’s decision, said that the organization has prepared for such action by diversifying funding, and rebuked claims made by the U.S. 

– China criticized the U.S. decision, noted the U.S. had long failed to pay its dues, while expressing firm support for UNESCO, also stating that China does not aim to challenge or replace the U.S., but hopes its role is viewed objectively.

– Only July 28, the U.S. Department of State has confirmed plans to burn nearly 10 million worth of contraceptives for low-income countries as the Trump administration scales back foreign aid.

– On July 30, the Trump administration rescinded USAID’s independent contract authority citing “bribery scheme.”

– On July 14, a report released by Senate Democrats warned of ceding global influence to China as the Trump administration continues to shutter international aid and quitting international institutions.

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Commentary

Red Tape to Rent Relief: China Moves to Reinvent Urban Tenancy

By Rían Knighton
July 28, 2025

Amid ongoing trade tensions across East and Southeast Asia, China has quietly introduced sweeping urban housing reforms that may reshape its rental markets for years to come. In a bold piece of policy from Premier Li Qiang, China has introduced reforms targeting urban state-owned land to take effect Sept 15, 2025. National Order No. 812 is primarily for rental markets in cities such as Beijing, Chengdu, and Chongqing, and excludes rural landowners. As China is still recovering from the 2021 Evergrande crash, it has endured a simultaneous lower income housing shortage whilst record numbers of luxury units sit empty …

MAP Commentary

US acceleration of offshore critical mineral development raises environmental concerns

By Nong Hong
July 23, 2025

The United States, under the Trump administration, is intensifying its push for offshore critical mineral development through sweeping policy reforms.

Framed as a strategy for enhancing national security and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains, this accelerated approach is part of a broader effort to secure domestic access to minerals vital for clean energy technologies, defense systems and high-tech manufacturing. However, it is also drawing growing international scrutiny and sparking debate over its implications for environmental protection and global ocean governance…

TnT Commentary

U.S. “Big Beautiful Bill” Redraws Map for Chinese Exporters

By Yilun Zhang 
July 18, 2025

With the signing of the American Tax, Security, and Prosperity Act—widely known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill”—the U.S. Congress has enacted the most consequential trade-related legislation for Chinese exporters in nearly a decade. While framed in Washington as a domestic economic package and Trump’s MAGA accomplishment, the bill contains structural provisions that will redefine market access, regulatory risks, and supply chain pathways for manufacturers, particularly those in low-margin sectors like textiles, household goods, and cross-border e-commerce…

ICAS In the News

On Thursday, July 24, 2025, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was interviewed by TRT World on the EU-China summit. 

 

  • “Neither of them is looking at each other at this point as a close partner, while there is some degree of maneuvering happening in this trilateral relationship. I would say China wants a deeper, interdependent relationship with the EU, but it cannot only be on China’s terms, and in fact, it needs to move a lot towards the EU’s terms on the trade and investment side.”

 

On Thursday, July 24, 2025, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was interviewed by CGTN America on China’s Visa-Free Expansion with Malaysia.

 

  • “There is a lot of internal tourism, but when you cater to a very diverse foreign audience, you need to up your game. It’s going to be very important in terms of China building out its tourism capabilities. Malaysia has already done that to an extent, simply because it has been a tourist destination for a while. The cherry on top is this idea of being able to also conduct business. … It takes one step forward and ties the destinies of the two countries much more inextricably”

 

Sourabh Gupta on CGTN America’s The Heat