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June 22, 2022

ICAS Bulletin (online ISSN 2836-3418, print ISSN 2836-340X) is published every other week throughout the year at 1919 M St NW, Suite 310, Washington, DC 20036.
The online version of ICAS Bulletin can be found at chinaus-icas.org/bulletins/.

- What's Going On? -

U.S. and Chinese Officials Meet Face-to- Face in Singapore and Luxembourg

U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin meets with Chinese Minister of Defense Wei Fenghe on June 10 in Singapore (Source: U.S. Department of Defense)

– On June 13, U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan met with China’s top foreign policy official Yang Jiechi for a four-hour meeting in Luxembourg.

– Washington described the meeting as an important step towards “reducing risk” in the U.S.-China relationship, and mentioned that the officials discussed a range of topics, including escalating military activity in the Taiwan Strait, the Ukraine conflict, and China’s recent veto of a UN resolution sanctioning North Korea. 

– From June 10-12, the 19th Shangri-La Dialogue, an annual defense conference organized by the London-based think tank International Institute for Strategic Studies, was held in Singapore.

– U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin met with his Chinese counterpart Wei Fenghe for the first time in advance of the summit. 

– Both sides mentioned in their press releases that Taiwan featured prominently in the discussion, but they avoided mentions of hostility and welcomed the talks as a positive step toward more regular communication. 

Beijing and Washington Lock Horns over Escalating Taiwan Strait Tensions

Chinese MFA Spokesperson Wang Wenbin asserted Beijing’s sovereignty over the Taiwan Strait in a June 13 Press Conference (Source: Chinese MFA)

– From June 15-22, U.S. and Taiwanese military personnel held talks in Annapolis to discuss the sharing of weapons systems and strategies that could be used to defend against a military operation from the mainland.

– On June 13, in response to a statement by Taipei referring to the Taiwan Strait as “international waters,” Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Wang Wenbin stated that “China enjoys sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the Taiwan Strait” and that “there is no such thing as ‘international waters’ in UNCLOS [The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea].”

– On June 14, in response to MFA spokesperson Wang’s statement, U.S. State Department spokesperson Ned Price rebuffed Beijing and described the Taiwan Strait an “international waterway…where high seas freedoms, including freedom of navigation and overflight, are guaranteed under international law.”

– On June 11, speaking at the Shangri-La Dialogue, Secretary Austin criticized China’s increasing activity in the Taiwan Strait, saying“our policy hasn’t changed, but unfortunately that doesn’t seem to be true for the PRC.”

– Defense Minister Wei Fenghe hit back at Secretary Austin’s comments, demanding that the U.S. stop “smearing and containing China and interfering in [its] internal affairs.” Wei also promised that China will “fight to the end” if the U.S. forces a confrontation over Taiwan.

Chinese Military Expansion As Power Bilateral Competition Intensifies

The launching and naming ceremony of Fujian at the Jiangnan Shipyard of China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, Shanghai (Source: Ministry of National Defense of the People's Republic of China)

– On June 19, Chinese Ministry of National Defense announced its “ground-based midcourse anti-missile intercept technology test has “achieved its expected purpose”. 

– On June 17, the first aircraft carrier designed and built in China, Type-003 Fujian, was launched. The U.S. Department of Defense regarded this as China extending beyond coastal and shipboard missile systems range.

– On June 12, Chinese Defence Minister Wei Fenghe reiterated China’s position as a responsible power and stated it was “natural” to develop new weapons to protect the national interest.

– U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin accused China of “political intimidation, economic coercion, or harassment” towards Indo-Pacific countries and vowed to support its partners.

– Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Xie Feng defended the security agreements with the Solomon Islands and accused the U.S. of turning the South Pacific into “a boxing ring” for the US-China rivalry.

U.S. Sanctions and Investments on China

(Source: Getty Images)

– On June 19, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm confirmed the possibilities to remove some tariffs on China and pause the federal gas tax to combat inflation.

– The Federal Communications Commission Chair Jessica Rosenworcel told Congress that deficiencies in two-thirds of applications to reimburse U.S. carriers for removing equipment from Chinese companies were deemed national security threats.

– Chubb CEO Evan Greenberg called for an “interest-based approach” for more U.S. business engagement with China, while holding firm in case of national security threats and unfair trade practices.

– U.S. Bipartisan supporters agreed on revised text requiring companies and investors to disclose new outbound investments that needed to be authorized on national security grounds, aiming to protect technologies and rebuild critical supply chains countering China.

– Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers advocated for easing tariffs on China, as inflation increases domestically and a recession would “more likely than not” occur within the next two years.

Global Spotlight on Chinese Human Rights Issues

An unpicked cotton field in Xinjiang, China (Source: Getty Images)

– On June 21, manufacturers and retailers braced for chaos as the U.S. Customs enforced the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act, a ban on imports from China’s Xinjiang region in response to reports of widespread human rights violations in the region.

– On June 15, UN Human Rights Chief Michelle Bachelet confirmed that she couldn’t speak to any Uygurs currently detained or their families” during her trip last month.

– On June 14, 47 countries delivered a joint statement on alleged abuses in China’s Xinjiang region, demanding the UN investigators and experts to observe the situation with “meaningful and unfettered access” provided.

– On June 9, the European Parliament adopted a position stating that China’s alleged human rights abuses in Xinjiang hold a “serious risk of genocide”, condemning China’s treatment of Uygurs and other ethnic Muslims in the northwestern region.

– On May 20, the Biden administration’s Special Coordinator for Tibetan Issues Uzra Zeya visited two Tibetan refugee camps in Kathmandu. Nepali officials feigned ignorance to avoid pressure from China.

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ICAS BCCC Commentary

Marine Protected Areas in the High Seas: A Multilateral Resolution and Unilateral Quandary for Blue Carbon Conservation

by Matt Geraci

June 21, 2022

Blue carbon was first acknowledged as a field of study in the 2009 United Nations Environment Programme report in recognition of the ocean’s role as the earth’s most significant carbon sink. “Blue Carbon” processes naturally sequester atmospheric carbon dioxide into sediments and conserve marine ecosystems over the long run when it remains undisturbed. These ecosystems typically include coral reefs, mangroves, sea grasses, salt marshes, kelp forests, and more. According to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, coastal blue carbon ecosystems, including seagrasses, salt marshes, and mangroves, “store three-to-five times more carbon per unit area than tropical forests, and [sequester] carbon at a rate ten times greater than tropical forests,” making them a crucial component of a country’s carbon emissions stock. Marine protected areas (MPA) are necessary for conserving blue carbon resources in coastal and deep-sea ecosystems. However, history has shown that if geopolitics is the driving force behind their declaration, sovereignty disputes will only intensify. A new, enforceable, and comprehensive international treaty covering the creation of MPAs on the high seas must be drafted and ratified for blue carbon resources to be adequately protected globally.

This commentary was published in China-US Focus on June 21, 2022.

ICAS TnT Commentary

Indo-Pacific between economic growth, technological competition and security

by Sourabh Gupta

June 6, 2022

The 21st century is going to be the Indo-Pacific century simply because it will be the foremost locus of global economic and perhaps military activity during this century. Great power primacy will be made and unmade in the broad Indo-Pacific region. The Indo-Pacific already hosts four nuclear weapons powers, five of the largest military budgets, and six (and seven counting ASEAN as a group) of the largest dozen economies in the world – United States, China, Japan, India, Russia, and Korea. This trend will continue for as far as the eye can see. On the other hand, it merits noting that even with the rise of an assertive China, given the broader distribution of economic and military might in the Indo-Pacific, it is not clear that the broader Asian equilibrium is about to be greatly disturbed. Inferences about an unbalanced and unipolar Asia under Beijing’s domination are off the mark. Washington and Beijing appear rather to be gradually exchanging spots within a rising but balanced (although admittedly in flux) Asia – a vastly different state of affairs from Imperial Japan’s rise a century ago.

This commentary was an interview originally conducted and released by the magazine The Science of Where on June 6, 2022.

ICAS In the News

On Tuesday, June 14, 2022, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta discussed the discernible outcomes of the Shangri-La Dialogue on CGTN America’s The Heat.

  • “We have to step back and understand that Shangri-La is happening for the first time in three years, so there is added focus on the Dialogue. In the interim, there have been a lot of actions, particularly from the U.S. side, in hollowing out the One China Policy, particularly the aspect of strategic ambiguity. Therefore, at the first major occasion it behooved the Chinese Defense Minister to come out with a firm stance on the Taiwan issue.
  • “For the U.S. side too I think it was important for them to mention Taiwan simply because of the awful actions that have been taken in Ukraine by Mr. Putin…The rules-based order is under a form of jeopardy and therefore Taiwan necessarily came to the fore even though the Taiwan and Ukraine situations are miles apart in many many respects.
  • “These drivers at the back [required] the two Defense Ministers to speak up, because if both sides reinforce deterrence there’s a fair chance that—if it is managed well—that a stable equilibrium could be built.”

On Monday, June 13, 2022, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta discussed the Shangri-La Dialogue and its implications in U.S.-China competition on CGTN’s World Insight with Tian Wei.

  • “We are still trying to seek out an equilibrium in U.S.-China ties. We know there is a new normal in the post-Trump age we just don’t know what exactly that new normal is.”
  • “If defense takes a proactive stance in trying to shape out a framework what that new normal could be in a stabilizing manner, so be it and I think that could be a good thing.” 

On Saturday, June 11, 2022, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta discussed the opening of the 19th Shangri-La Dialogue, and the meeting of U.S. and Chinese Defense Ministers which took place on its sidelines, on CGTN America’s The Heat.

  • “The Biden team…is trying to set a floor and trying to stabilize the relationship with China, create some guardrails, albeit in this framework of competition.”
  • “[The U.S.] is trying to shape the environment around China from a geopolitical and an economic perspective with…a ‘China minus’ strategy. Be it in IPEF…or the Quad where China could easily take up many of these responsibilities but is deliberately kept out.”
  • “It’s a positive agenda for the region even if it is a ‘China minus’ strategy…[the U.S.] wants to be a platform for growth and stability of other parties in terms of invest, align, and compete.”