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May 25, 2022

ICAS Bulletin (online ISSN 2836-3418, print ISSN 2836-340X) is published every other week throughout the year at 1919 M St NW, Suite 310, Washington, DC 20036.
The online version of ICAS Bulletin can be found at chinaus-icas.org/bulletins/.

- What's Going On? -

U.S.-ASEAN Special Summit Held in Washington

U.S. President Biden greeting ASEAN leaders at the White House (Source: The White House)

– On May 14, President Biden nominated Yohannes Abraham, chief of staff to the White House National Security Council, as ambassador to the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)

– From May 12-13, Biden hosted a U.S.-ASEAN Special Summit in Washington, hailed as an effort by the U.S. to reiterate its commitment to the regional bloc and assemble a united front against China.

– On the first day of the U.S.-ASEAN summit, Biden unveiled a $150 million aid package to ASEAN countries focusing on infrastructure, security, pandemic recovery, and promoting a ‘free and open Indo-Pacific.’

– The summit concluded with a 28-point joint ‘vision statement’ between the assembled leaders which hailed a “new era” of U.S.-ASEAN ties.

– Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Zhao Lijian welcomed the engagement as constructive and conducive to increased cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, but he urged the U.S. not to treat the region as a “zero-sum game” between China and the United States.

Biden Launches the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework During Asia Trip

U.S. President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on May 23, 2022 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by David Mareuil - Pool/Getty Images)

– On May 24, leaders of the United States, Japan, India and Australia launched a maritime initiative at the Quad Summit to combat illegal fishing and pledged to invest more than $50bn in developing infrastructure in the Indo-Pacific to counter China.

– On May 23, as a response to Biden’s Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi announced Beijing’s plan to advance China’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement.

– On May 23, President Biden said that the U.S. would intervene militarily if China attempts to take Taiwan by force. The White House soon clarified that it doesn’t reflect a change in US policy.

– On May 17, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo confirmed Biden’s attempt to kick off the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework during his four-day visit to South Korea and Japan starting on May 20, a “cold war strategy” aiming to challenge China’s rising influence in the region.

Bilateral Trade and Technology

Source: Getty Images

– On May 18, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang showed support for the country’s platform companies and digital economy enterprises to raise capital in domestic and overseas stock markets at a symposium with local government heads from 12 provinces.

– China is in talks with automakers about extending costly subsidies for electric vehicles to keep a key market growing as Shanghai lockdowns slow the broad economy.

– On May 11, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Zhao Lijian urged to remove tariffs on Chinese products, as the Biden Administration considers controlling rising consumer prices in the U.S..

– While the U.S. Department of Commerce determines whether Chinese manufacturers are skirting U.S. duty rules on solar imports by funneling components through affiliates in nearby countries, hundreds of large-scale solar power projects are put on hold.

– In March, an internal Chinese Communist Party directive was launched to block promotions for senior cadres whose spouses or children hold significant assets abroad, aiming to insulate top officials from the types of sanctions directed at Russia now.

Hong Kong Arrests Prompt American Reproach, Much to Beijing’s Chagrin

New cardinal Joseph Zen Ze-Kiun, Archbishop of Hong Kong in Vatican City, March 2006. (Photo by Franco Origlia - Getty Images)

– On May 11, Hong Kong police arrested Cardinal Joseph Zen Ze-Kiun, formerly the Roman Catholic archbishop of Hong Kong, on the charge that he ‘colluded with foreign forces’ to endanger China’s national security. 

– Four other trustees of the now-defunct 612 Humanitarian Relief Fund, which assisted pro-democracy protests throughout 2019, were also arrested per the provisions of a sweeping 2020 national security law.

– U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi condemned the arrests to which Chinese MFA spokesperson Zhao Lijian responded by telling Pelosi to “mind her own business” and not “let Hong Kong bother her.”

– In the wake of the arrests, seven Republican congressmen penned a letter to President Biden urging him to impose sanctions on Hong Kong’s judges and prosecutors over their handling of national security cases.

– Hong Kong’s judiciary and Bar Association responded to the letter, calling the legislators’ call “absolutely unacceptable” and a “direct infringement” of the city’s rule of law.

U.S.-China Disputes Over Human Rights Issues

UN Human Rights Chief Michelle Bachelet (Source: The United Nations)

– UN Human Rights Chief Michelle Bachelet confirmed a six-to-seven-day visit to China, including Xinjiang,  where the Chinese government has been accused of persecution of Uygurs and other ethnic Muslims.

– On May 17, a U.S. citizen and four China Ministry of State Security officials were charged with spying on pro-democracy activists and organizations.

– On May 17, the U.S. Justice Department sued the former CEO of Wynn Resorts Steve Wynn for acting as a Chinese agent and lobbying then-President Donald Trump at Beijing’s behest in 2017.

– On May 10, the U.S. Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines criticized the threat posed by China to Taiwan until 2030 to be “critical” and “acute”.

- What Are We Reading? -

- What's Happening Around Town? -

Past Events

Upcoming Events

- What ICAS Is Up To -

Past ICAS TnT Event

Indo-Pacific Economic Framework: A New Model of Regional Trade Liberalization or a One-Time Aberration?
ICAS Trade ‘n Technology Program Event
May 18, 2022
10:00am – 11:20am EST

On May 18, 2022, the Institute for China-America Studies (ICAS) hosted a virtual public event to discuss the to-be-imminently-launched Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF). The event was titled “Indo-Pacific Economic Framework: New Model of Regional Trade Liberalization or One-Time Aberration?” Dr. Hong Nong, Executive Director and Senior Fellow at ICAS, delivered the opening remarks, speaking about the scope for both competition and cooperation in U.S.-China and U.S.-Asia trade relations. The discussion was moderated by Mr. Sourabh Gupta, Senior Fellow, and Head of ICAS’ Trade n’ Technology Program, and featured four speakers: Mr. Craig Allen, President, U.S.-China Business Council, Dr. Mary Lovely, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Dr. Satu Limaye, Vice President, East-West Center, and Dr. Denis Simon, Professor of China Business and Technology & Senior Advisor to the President for China Affairs, Duke University.

ICAS Academic Engagements

On Thursday, May 19, a student delegation from Spelman College joined the ICAS staff as part of an educational program that Spelman College has in cooperation with George Washington University. Two George Washington University staff were present as well. The discussion, led by ICAS Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta and involving other members of the ICAS staff, focused on careers in Washington, DC in international relations as well as the role that think tanks play in helping to shape policy and conversations on the U.S.-China relationship.

On May 24, ICAS hosted a delegation from the University of Maryland and students from Brunei, where the Biden administration’s trade and economic priorities in East and Southeast Asia were discussed. Additionally, the U.S. and Chinese approaches to climate change, industrial policies, and best practices for addressing transboundary environmental concerns in the Mekong region were raised at the table.

ICAS Commentary

What do the Upcoming Australian Elections Mean for U.S.-China Relations?

By Alec Caruana
May 19, 2022

As Australians head to the polls this weekend to elect their members of Parliament, national security will be a crucial issue in voters’ minds from across the political spectrum for the first time in decades. On the campaign trail, incumbent Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the Liberal-National Coalition have done their best to maintain their traditional hold on hawkish voters by characterizing the Australian Labor Party (ALP) as “appeasers” and China’s “pick” for the leadership. However, in this ‘khaki election’ the dove-hawk divide has all but disappeared. Labor has largely responded by reflecting charges back at the incumbents and adopting substantively similar policies as them towards China. This emerging ‘China consensus’ in Australia is bound to be an influential factor in U.S.-China relations.

With domestic political winds—and China’s recent actions—blowing both of Australia’s main leadership hopefuls in an increasingly anti-China direction, Washington should expect a more assertive ally in the Indo-Pacific region regardless of the election’s outcome. This dynamic has the potential to throw greater weight behind the Biden administration’s key regional initiatives, such as the nascent Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), and its enduring efforts to challenge Beijing’s activities in the South China Sea through partnerships like AUKUS and the Quad. However, a more assertive partner could also limit the room for maneuver in cases, such as the recent security agreement between China and the Solomon Islands, where Washington’s methods or aims may diverge from Canberra’s…

ICAS In the News

On Saturday, May 14, 2022, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta discussed the U.S.-ASEAN Summit on CGTN America’s The Heat.

  • “I think what the U.S.’ fundamental purpose out there was, unfortunately, was to show that ‘we haven’t forgotten you.’ We have to remember that Donald Trump went to the ASEAN led summits once — never showed up after that. In his Indo-Pacific Strategy, ASEAN was essentially lumped with the Pacific states…ASEAN countries are looking for commitment.”
  • “[The Americans] have queried that pitch a bit by saying: ‘Look we are committed to the region. We did AUKUS, we are doing Quad.” None of those include ASEAN and they are saying ‘no, we need something better.’ Yes, the U.S. is trying to show that they have a broad agenda with ASEAN, but I’ll also submit that agenda is a mile wide and an inch deep and the U.S. has a lot of work to do still.”

On Friday, May 13, 2022, Research Associate Matt Geraci spoke to China-US Focus regarding ‘what’s on the table’ for U.S.-China cooperation moving forward.

  • “The best way to understand how a functional framework could be developed is to first determine what is not necessarily just on the table but what is entirely off the table. What technologies are considered dual-use technologies that could be employed for military use, for instance? Those types of technologies would not necessarily be on the table for joint research or collaboration. 
  • “In some ways it could be seen as a process of elimination…but if you can’t understand what isn’t okay for us to pursue, than it’s really difficult to answer the question: ‘Alright, well what is it that we can do?’…For example there has been, over the last several decades, collaboration on these less contentious areas [such as] joint research bases in the Arctic and Antarctic regions.”

On Thursday, May 12, 2022, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta spoke on TRTWorld and CGTN America about the U.S.-ASEAN Summit.

  • “Fundamentally for [ASEAN] security is not the biggest issue, development is the fundamental issue and the U.S. doesn’t yet have a strategy for ASEAN. The U.S. needs to show that it is ready to promote market access.”
  • “There are a number of targetted gets that the Americans are trying to extract from ASEAN, and one of them I think over the next two days is to have a larger number of ASEAN numbers sign up to the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework. If the number is too low or two tiny, I think the framework would be shot through right at the very beginning…the fundamental issue is that what is on the table offered by the Americans is frankly very weak soup. The ASEAN folks will drink it but [they’re] not terribly happy drinking it.”
  • [ASEAN] is important in the context of America’s attempt to selectively decouple from the Chinese supply chain, which winds its way through Southeast Asia…parts of ASEAN have been beneficiaries of the trade war that the Americans have prosecuted but…it’s more important [to the U.S.] to capture those folks who are at the higher levels, higher tiers of the supply chain — Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan informally — rather than ASEAN countries.”
  • “I think on the security front, while [ASEAN countries are] assured that the U.S. wants to maintain its presence, they’d like to see a little bit of consultation from America before it goes along with its initiatives, and they’d like to see perhaps a harmonization of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Strategy with their ASEAN Outlook for the Indo-Pacific.”