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October 23, 2024

ICAS Bulletin (online ISSN 2836-3418, print ISSN 2836-340X) is published every other week throughout the year at 1919 M St NW, Suite 310, Washington, DC 20036.
The online version of ICAS Bulletin can be found at chinaus-icas.org/bulletins/.

- What's Going On? -

Tensions and Trade Coexist as the U.S. Watches the ASEAN Summit

Leaders from ASEAN and Japan gather for a group photo at the 27th ASEAN-Japan Summit in Vientiane, Laos, on October 10, 2024. (Source: Cabinet Public Affairs Office)

– Russia and China blocked a proposed statement by ASEAN at the October 11 East Asia Summit due to language used on the South China Sea. The summit in Laos highlighted disagreements over the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, with the U.S. and several other Western nations backing the proposed consensus statement for the East Asia Summit.
– U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who visited Laos for two days to participate in the 12th ASEAN-U.S. Summit, warned ASEAN leaders of China’s “dangerous” actions in the South China Sea. He reaffirmed U.S. support for freedom of navigation, while China blamed the U.S. military presence for instability.
– China successfully signed several new trade deals with ASEAN and ASEAN nations, while the U.S. progressed a few major initiatives of their own with its ASEAN partners. Premier Li Qiang advanced economic ties as Blinken emphasized U.S. investments and security concerns.
– ASEAN leaders pressed China to respect international law after South China Sea clashes during the October 12 summit in Laos, with U.S. officials raising concerns over China’s aggressive actions. Chinese Premier Li Qiang blamed foreign interference, including from the U.S., and reaffirmed China’s sovereignty and economic ties with ASEAN.

U.S. Tightens Tech Controls on China as the Private Sector Adjusts

(Source: Getty Images, Royalty-Free)

– In a letter delivered on October 18, U.S. lawmakers urged the Biden administration to block Huawei suppliers from accessing American chip making tools, citing national security concerns. They warned that Chinese firms linked to Huawei are using U.S. technology to bypass sanctions, calling for stricter export controls.
– Semiconductor company ASML expects a significant drop in China sales due to U.S. export restrictions on its chip making tools. The Dutch chip equipment maker forecasted China’s contribution to its revenue will fall to around 20% in 2025, down from 49% in early 2024.
– New reports say that Apple collaborated with Shenzhen-based automaker BYD on long-range battery technology for its now-canceled car project, with the partnership contributing to BYD’s current Blade battery system.
– Chemical manufacturer Lyten is investing over $1 billion to build a lithium-sulphur battery factory in Reno, Nevada by 2027. The technology aims to reduce U.S. reliance on China for critical metals, offering a cheaper and longer-lasting alternative to lithium-ion batteries.
– The Biden administration is considering imposing country-specific caps on AI chip sales, building on existing restrictions aimed at China. The potential limits would also target countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia, as concerns over national security and AI technology being used for surveillance increase.

Military Drills and Rising Tensions Around Taiwan and the South China Sea

A Taiwanese Air Force Mirage 2000 fighter jet takes off at an air force base in Hsinchu on October 14, 2024. (Photo by I-HWA CHENG/AFP via Getty Images)

– A pair of U.S. and Canadian warships sailed through the Taiwan Strait on October 21, less than one week after China conducted a military exercise around Taiwan. Beijing condemning the transit as “disruptive” and the U.S. Navy emphasizing it as a routine mission for freedom of navigation.
– U.S. and Filipino troops began annual joint military exercises in the South China Sea, with the drills focusing on coastal defense.
– On October 14, as an apparent warning against “separatist acts” following Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te’s remarks on Taiwan’s National Day, China’s military conducted war games around the island of Taiwan, drawing condemnation from Taiwan and the U.S. The drills involved both warships and aircraft and were followed up two days later by another military drill conducted by China simulating a blockade of Taiwan. The U.S. condemned the exercise as provocative and destabilizing.
– The U.S. condemned China’s potential use of Taiwan’s October 10 National Day speech as a pretext for military pressure. A U.S. official emphasized that there is no justification for such coercive actions, which undermine cross-Strait stability.

Mutual Spikes in Tensions Over Sanctions, Cybersecurity, and Corporate Issues

(Source: Unsplash)

– Chinese tech company DJI is suing the U.S. to be removed from the “Chinese military companies” list, claiming that such a designation has hurt its business since 2021. The company denies ties to the Chinese government and Uyghur surveillance allegations, which are the reasons given for it being designated.
– The U.S. sanctioned two Chinese companies on October 19 for aiding Russia in producing long-range attack drones used in Ukraine. The Treasury Department cited direct collaboration between Chinese firms and Russian defense companies, further straining U.S.-China relations.
– Washington-based McKinsey is overhauling its China operations, cutting 500 employees and reducing work with government-linked clients amid rising U.S.-China tensions.
– On October 16, China’s Cybersecurity Association called for a security review of products made by U.S. tech company Intel , alleging that they pose national security risks. The potential review could impact Intel’s revenue in China.
– New York-based IBM is investigating misconduct allegations against its China head, Chen Xudong, after claims of accepting gifts and leaking company information. The investigation follows broader challenges that IBM is facing in China amid the U.S.-China geopolitical tensions.
– The White House triggered an emergency response group to address Chinese cyber intrusions into U.S. telecom providers. Officials are concerned the hacks may have compromised wiretap systems used by law enforcement, marking a significant security threat.
– California-based company OpenAI revealed that a China-linked group attempted a phishing attack on its employees earlier this year. The attack, aimed at stealing sensitive information, was unsuccessful due to existing security controls.

Various Voices Add to Bilateral U.S.-China Tensions and Concerns

US Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks addresses the US Chamber of Commerce in Washington, DC, on July 9, 2024. (Photo by DREW ANGERER/AFP via Getty Images)

– China is reportedly developing a low-cost radar system capable of detecting the U.S. F-22 Raptor stealth fighter, utilizing a single receiving antenna and the BeiDou satellite system. The radar reportedly uses a “blind detection” method to track stealth jets and can switch between various satellite systems for uninterrupted operation.
– Senator Marsha Blackburn targeted China in a new political ad, highlighting her anti-China stance, while her opponent Gloria Johnson focuses on lowering costs and fighting corporate influence.
– The U.S. says it plans to use tariffs and other measures to counter China’s overproduction in sectors like electric vehicles and semiconductors. White House official Daleep Singh warned that China’s subsidies and market dominance are undermining global competition.
– Pentagon Deputy Secretary Kathleen Hicks stressed at a public think tank event that China’s military expansion is the United States’ top challenge, urging reforms in innovation and accountability within the Defense Department. She also highlighted the United States’ strategic advantage in its global alliances.

In Other News

A pair of FedEx trucks in a motorcade transport a pair of 3 year old Giant Pandas, Bao Li and Qing Bao, after they arrive on a FedEx Boeing 777 plane from China at Dulles International Airport on October 15, 2024 in Dulles, VA. Eleven months prior three giant pandas, Tian Tian, Mei Xiang and Xiao Qi Ji left Washington, DC traveling 19 hours to the Wolong Panda Reserve in Chengdu, China. (Photo by Kent Nishimura/Getty Images)

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L.E.A.D. Project Legislative Brief

L.E.A.D. Legislative Brief: 118th Congress Pushing for Further Decoupling with China during the “China Week” as Election Approaches

By Yilun Zhang, Amanda Jin & Ao Gu
October 14, 2024

Introduction:

As Congress resumed from its summer recess and as the election approaches, U.S. lawmakers in early September introduced a wave of China-related legislative measures, which in large part followed its consistent trajectory of firmly pushing for further U.S.-China strategic competition and decoupling. During what was dubbed as “China Week,” the House passed more than 20 bills targeting China, with a particular focus on emerging and critical technologies. Additionally, efforts were also made to address China’s global influence and to reassert democratic values related to U.S. concerns about China. Nevertheless, as the 118th Congress enters its final stretch, lawmakers face limited time to advance these measures, while the upcoming election promises to shift key players and hence potentially impact the overall legislative stance on China.



In May 2023, the team at the Institute for China-America Studies (ICAS) launched the
U.S.-China Legislative and Executive Actions Directory (L.E.A.D.) Project to track and summarize trending critical issues and developments on China, emanating from both the White House and Capitol Hill.
This is the fifth release of the Legislative Actions Directory and the second legislative release in 2024, summarizing recent U.S. legislative moves up to the October recess and with a special additional focus on the November congressional race.

Chairman of the House Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, Rep. John Moolenaar (R-MI) speaks alongside Speaker of the House Mike Johnson as the House of Representatives votes on over two dozen China-related bills. Source: House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party (Video Screenshot)

ICAS In the News

On Saturday, October 19, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was interviewed by South China Morning Post on Taiwan remaining a flashpoint no matter who wins the U.S. election.

  • “For the most part, the Biden team operated within the confines of the US one-China policy … and has been consistent in its messaging and practices since the November 2022 G20 summit in Bali.”

On Monday, October 14, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was interviewed by CGTN America’s The Heat on the ASEAN Summit.

  • “…Asia and ASEAN is one of the rare bright spots in the global economy…ASEAN has become an important manufacturing platform for many countries also including for China and that’s why in terms for China it’s not just trading with ASEAN that relationship is changing a little bit where China is becoming an important investor in ASEAN countries and thereafter the producing for third markets.”
  • “What I would say about the meeting is…it is a reflection of what ASEAN does very well. Three things, it provides a platform, which is a very broad platform where a lot of parties can speak even those who are at odds with each other,…secondly it discusses all the issues under the sun which relate to the Asia Pacific region and touch upon ASEAN and Southeast Asia…and finally the third point through these meetings implicitly and explicitly ASEAN manages to make its centrality heard and felt…”

On Thursday, October 10, Senior Fellow Sourabh Gupta was interviewed by South China Morning Post on U.S.-China competition in advanced tech and what lies ahead.

  • “Breakthroughs in science and technology will be central to the geopolitical landscape of the 21st century and to efforts by the US and China to dominate it.”
  • “To be clear, there is no ‘new cold war’ that is about to break out as yet in US-China relations [of] the sort of overarching zero-sum rivalry that played out between Washington and Moscow during the second half of the 20th century.”
  • “However, there is a palpable cold war-style, zero-sum equation settling into their competition to dominate the high-technology and advanced manufacturing industries of tomorrow.”
Senior Fellow Gupta on CGTN America's The Heat on October 14, 2024.