Search
Close this search box.
Commentary

Whirlwind round of US diplomacy leaves China relations in unknown territory

May 31, 2022

COMMENTARY BY:

Picture of Nong Hong
Nong Hong

Executive Director & Senior Fellow

Cover Image Source: Getty Images

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken made his long-delayed policy speech last Thursday, outlining America’s China policy by describing Beijing as “the most serious long-term challenge to the international order”. This followed a wider effort to calm Beijing over President Joe Biden’s comment that the United States would be willing to use force to defend Taiwan against attack, and is the latest move in the administration’s months-long campaign to counter China. It seems to signal that deteriorating US-China relations will not improve any time soon.

The Biden administration has had a busy global agenda this month. Washington hosted Asean leaders for a special summit, then Biden travelled to South Korea and Japan for bilateral meetings, attended the second Quadrilateral Security Dialogue summit, and announced that 12 countries were joining America’s Indo-Pacific Economic Framework – a new pillar in the strategy to counter Beijing.

The May 12-13 meeting with leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations was seen as a US move to counter China’s close relations with Asian states and expanded regional influence. Jacob Stokes, from the Centre for a New American Security, argued that China’s assertiveness, its mixed record on the Belt and Road Initiative, economic slowdown and pandemic handling had created an opportunity for Washington to regain its momentum with Asean and offer attractive alternatives.

Beijing did not view the US-Asean summit positively and expressed its discontent over what it sees as US political and economic interference.

A central theme of Biden’s May 20-23 Asia trip was to tighten alliances in the Pacific, to counter China’s influence. The president carried a clear message, warning Beijing not to help blunt global sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine. In Japan, Biden signalled a more confrontational approach to China, including on Taiwan. His remark that the US would defend Taiwan militarily in the event of a Chinese attack seemed to deviate from long-standing policy. Both the White House and Pentagon quickly clarified that there was no policy change; Biden’s comments simply reiterated a pledge made through a 1979 law that the US would provide Taiwan with the military means for self-defence.

Still, Biden’s words resonated powerfully and prompted an international reaction. No matter how the US tries to remedy things, it cannot cover up the policy shift, albeit potentially small, from strategic ambiguity towards strategic clarity.